Co-ordinated by : Kerala Agricultural University & Indian Institute of Information Technology & Management - Kerala



 

Trade pattern (Rubber)


Production pattern:

World natural rubber production was around 9 million tonnes in 2006-07. India is the fourth largest producer of natural rubber with a share of nine per cent in the world after Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia. The production of natural rubber in India was 8.53 lakh MT in 2006-07. The four largest producers contribute more than 85 percent of the global production. Other contributors are Vietnam, china, Sri Lanka and the Philippines. India is at the same time the fourth largest consumer of natural rubber after China, USA and Japan.

Export pattern

The trade in natural rubber is slightly less than one eighth of the global output. The total export of natural rubber in 2004 was 10.52 lakh tonnes, out of total production of 89.76 lakh tonnes produced from 82.99 lakh hectares. The world export doubled from 5.17 lakh tonnes in 2000 to 10.52 lakh tonnes in 2004.

Quantity of export of natural rubber from different countries (Quantity in MT)

Year

India

Sri Lanka

Indonesia

Malaysia

Myanmar

Thailand

World

2000

554

196

9095

91803

20100

323024

517109

2001

585

355

10375

80424

25000

410458

590234

2002

3299

974

8637

77974

22600

438889

621553

2003

8627

392

12526

76866

30000

491926

701866

2004

5403

2014

11755

73331

30000

853403

1051562

           
Source: Computed from http://faostat.fao.org

Thailand emerged as the world leader in rubber exports since 2000.  Her share in world export rose steadily from 62.5% in 2000 to 81.2% in 2004. At the same time, the share of Malaysia declined steadily from 17.8% in 2000 to 7% in 2004.  Vietnam, which produces 4.5% of world output, is another potential exporter.  ASEAN countries account for about 90% of the natural rubber exports. Hence if rubber is included for free trade or preferential tariff with Indo-Asean - FTA farmers in Kerala will have lot of problems. 

          
Quantity of export of natural rubber by different countries (percentage)       
          

Year

India

Sri Lanka

Indonesia

Malaysia

Myanmar

Thailand

World

2000

0.1

0.0

1.8

17.8

3.9

62.5

100.0

2001

0.1

0.1

1.8

13.6

4.2

69.5

100.0

2002

0.5

0.2

1.4

12.5

3.6

70.6

100.0

2003

1.2

0.1

1.8

11.0

4.3

70.1

100.0

2004

0.5

0.2

1.1

7.0

2.9

81.2

100.0

       
Source: Computed from http://faostat.fao.org       

India’s export went up by ten fold from 554 tonnes in 2000 to 5403 tonnes in 2004. This was higher during 2003 (8627 tonnes). As a result, India’s share in the export of natural rubber appreciated from 0.1% in 2000 to 1.2% in 2003. However it declined to 0.5% in 2004. India so far has not taken rubber exports seriuosly as the domestic production is slightly short of rising domestic demand. Hence India's role in rubber exports is highly insignificant.

Value of export of natural rubber by different countries (1000 $)

Year

India

Sri Lanka

Indonesia

Malaysia

Myanmar

Thailand

World

2000

766

213

7208

87085

10256

234123

436204

2001

627

342

7180

69275

11233

262380

428870

2002

3588

861

5984

74946

10400

321380

501537

2003

11464

487

10943

97760

15000

545572

807663

2004

7225

1758

13509

111469

15000

712688

995459

Source: Computed from http://faostat.fao.org

The aggregate value of natural rubber exports in the world in 2004 was $995 million compared to $436 million in 2000. Thailand alone contributed 71.6 % of the value of exports in 2004.  The next significant exporter was Malaysia. Her export share declined from 20% in 2000 to 11.2% in 2004. While India’s share was only 0.2% in 2000, it went up to 1.4% in 2003. However it declined by half in 2004 to 0.7%.

Value of export of natural rubber by different countries (Percentage)     

Year

India

Sri Lanka

Indonesia

Malaysia

Myanmar

Thailand

World

2000

0.2

0.0

1.7

20.0

2.4

53.7

100.0

2001

0.1

0.1

1.7

16.2

2.6

61.2

100.0

2002

0.7

0.2

1.2

14.9

2.1

64.1

100.0

2003

1.4

0.1

1.4

12.1

1.9

67.5

100.0

2004

0.7

0.2

1.4

11.2

1.5

71.6

100.0

      
Source: Computed from http://faostat.fao.org

Product group-wise export of rubber and rubber products in India

Share (%)

Product group

Pre-reform phase

Post-reform phase

1987-88 to 2003-04

HS 4010

11.32

4.77

5.48

HS 4011

67.97

61.43

62.13

HS 4012

3.85

5.25

4.96

HS 4016

2.98

7.66

7.15

Total

86.12

79.11

79.72

HS 4010: Conveyor or transmission belts or belting, of vulcanized rubber
HS 4011: New pneumatic tyres of rubber
HS 4012: Rethreaded or used pneumatic tyres of rubber, solid or cushion tyres, tyres tread            and tyre flaps, of rubber.
HS 4016: Other articles of vulcanized rubber other than hard rubber                                                                                            

Product group-wise export of rubber and rubber products in India

Product group-wise export of rubber and rubber products in India

There had been steady decline in the share of new pneumatic tyres of rubber (HS 4011) from the historical peaks in the past. The country is still heavily dependent on this product group in its exports. The dominance of dry rubber products in the composition of exports is evident from the fact that dry rubber products constituted more than 80 per cent of the export. The decline in the share of four product lines (HS 4010, 4011, 4012 and 4016) in the post-reform phase is notable as it represents the changing composition in the export basket as underlined by the growing share of non-traditional product groups (HS 4016 and 4014).

Last updated: 10-01-08

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