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Market Intelligence(Rubber)
Domestic consumption
Global production was 8.82 million tonnes in 2005, which was about 0.4 percent higher than the production in 2004. Production in Thailand, the world’s largest producer, declined slightly to 2.91 million tonnes from 2.96 million tonnes in 2004. The two leading producers, Thailand and Indonesia continue to dominate the market, accounting for 34 and 26 per cent each, followed by Malaysia and India with 13 and 9 per cent. After declining for several years in the late 1990s, production in Malaysia recovered recently and reached 1.1 million tonnes in 2005, about 53 percent higher than that in 1999.
Consumption of natural rubber was around 8.57 million tonnes in 2004; about 4 percent higher than the level of the previous year but nearly 24 percent higher than that in 1999. Nearly half the natural rubber is demanded for for tyre production. Higher demand for motor vehicles, and hence for tyres.
In 2004, natural rubber consumption in China reached nearly 1.63 million tonnes, which was 10 percent more than the previous year. Other major consuming countries, including India, Japan, the Republic of Korea and Malaysia, also registered increased consumption in 2004. Consumption of North America (the United States and Canada), ranged between 1.13 and 1.20 million tonnes during the past few years largely for automobile sector. China the largest natural rubber importer in 2004, with 1.21 million tonnes, which was 5% higher than that of 2003.
Pattern of consumption of natural rubber in India during 2004-05 and 2005-06
Item |
Consumption (MT) |
|
Growth per cent |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2004-2005 |
% |
2005-2006 |
% |
||
Natural rubber |
|||||
Auto Tyres and Tubes |
406226 |
53.78 |
442921 |
55.29 |
9 |
Others |
349179 |
46.22 |
358189 |
44.71 |
2.6 |
Total NR |
755405 |
100 |
801110 |
100 |
6.1 |
Synthetic rubber (SR) |
|||||
Auto Tyres and Tubes |
131267 |
58.43 |
141580 |
59.61 |
7.9 |
Others |
93383 |
41.57 |
95915 |
40.39 |
2.7 |
Total SR |
224650 |
100.00 |
237495 |
100.00 |
5.7 |
NR and SR |
|||||
Auto Tyres and Tubes |
537493 |
54.84 |
584501 |
56.28 |
8.7 |
Others |
442562 |
45.16 |
454104 |
43.72 |
2.6 |
Total of NR and SR |
980055 |
100 |
1038605 |
100.00 |
6 |
The following pie diagram shows the percentage share of consumption of natural and synthetic rubber and auto tyres and tubes in India during 2005-06.
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|
World Production and Consumption of natural and synthetic rubber during 1996 to 2006
Year |
Production ('000 tonnes) |
Consumption ('000 tonnes) |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Natural |
Synthetic |
Total |
Natural |
Synthetic Rubber |
Total |
|
1996 |
6,440 |
9,760 |
16,200 |
6,110 |
9,590 |
15,700 |
1997 |
6,470 |
10,080 |
16,550 |
6,460 |
10,000 |
16,460 |
1998 |
6,850 |
9,880 |
16,730 |
6,570 |
9,870 |
16,440 |
1999 |
6,872 |
10,336 |
17,208 |
6,646 |
10,188 |
16,834 |
2000 |
6,764 |
10,818 |
17,582 |
7,383 |
10,759 |
18,142 |
2001 |
7,242 |
10,483 |
17,725 |
7,334 |
10,247 |
17,581 |
2002 |
7,303 |
10,882 |
18,185 |
7,627 |
10,717 |
18,344 |
2003 |
7,976 |
11,390 |
19,366 |
8,003 |
11,397 |
19,400 |
2004 |
8,639 |
11,989 |
20,628 |
8,579 |
11,850 |
20,429 |
2005 |
8,821 |
12,053 |
20,874 |
9,000 |
11,955 |
20,955 |
2006* |
7,764 |
10,355 |
18,119 |
7,375 |
10,423 |
17,798 |
International Rubber Study Group (IRSG) Vol 56 No 12, September 2002
International Rubber Study Group (IRSG) Vol 61 No 4/Vol 61 No 5, January/February 2007
The following table shows the projected production and consumption pattern of natural and synthic rubber during the period 2020.
| Production pattern | 1996 |
2005 |
Compound growth rate |
Expected on 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Natural Rubber |
6,440 |
8,821 |
3.196 |
14,141 |
Synthetic Rubber |
9,760 |
12,053 |
2.133 |
16,541 |
Total |
16,200 |
20,874 |
2.567 |
30,531 |
Consumption pattern |
||||
Natural Rubber |
6,110 |
9000 |
3.949 |
16,090 |
Synthetic Rubber |
9,590 |
11,955 |
2.229 |
16,640 |
Total |
15,700 |
20,955 |
2.929 |
32,312 |
Kerala's scenario:
Consumption of natural, synthetic and reclaimed rubber in kerala (in MT) during 1994-95 to 2003-04
Year |
NATURAL RUBBER |
% |
SYNTHETIC RUBBER |
% |
RECLAIMED RUBBER |
% |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1994-95 |
64,660 |
72.05 |
18,984 |
21.15 |
6,100 |
6.80 |
89,744 |
1995-96 |
75,200 |
72.20 |
22,727 |
21.82 |
6,232 |
5.98 |
1,04,159 |
1996-97 |
67,144 |
68.73 |
24,575 |
25.16 |
5,968 |
6.11 |
97,687 |
1997-98 |
68,542 |
66.78 |
27,825 |
27.11 |
6,270 |
6.11 |
1,02,637 |
1998-99 |
77,583 |
68.72 |
29,074 |
25.75 |
6,245 |
5.53 |
1,12,902 |
1999-00 |
86,849 |
69.63 |
31,068 |
24.91 |
6,820 |
5.47 |
1,24,737 |
2000-01 |
88,221 |
68.94 |
32,978 |
25.77 |
6,773 |
5.29 |
1,27,972 |
2001-02 |
1,00,163 |
72.13 |
32,114 |
23.13 |
6,583 |
4.74 |
1,38,860 |
2002-03 |
1,26,100 |
74.44 |
36,438 |
21.51 |
6,861 |
4.05 |
1,69,399 |
2003-04p |
1,24,630 |
69.66 |
46,921 |
26.22 |
7,367 |
4.12 |
1,78,918 |
2004-05p |
1,24,554 |
68.36 |
49,746 |
27.30 |
7,895 |
4.33 |
1,82,195 |
The following line chart shows the trend in the consumption of natural, synthetic and reclaimed rubber in Kerala during 1994-95 to 2004-05.
Source: Rubber Board Statistics
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