Co-ordinated by : Kerala Agricultural University & Indian Institute of Information Technology & Management - Kerala




Market Analysis



Price variations

World rubber prices may continue to show some strength in the near future largely due to the high oil price and continuing global economic growth. If global economic growth, especially in developed countries such as the EU, Japan, and the United States and large developing countries such as China and India continues at the current pace, further price strengthening could be expected. However, the magnitude of the growth in rubber consumption depends considerably on the growth in China.

Source: Economic Review

Average Market Price of Natural Rubber in Domestic (Kottayam) and International (Bangok) Markets

Year

Kottayam (RSS-4)

Bangok (RSS-3)

Index of World Price based on Indian price

1992/93

2550

2608

102.27

1993/94

2569

2510

97.70

1994/95

3638

4171

114.65

1995/96

5204

5016

96.39

1996/97

4901

4509

92.00

1997/98

3580

3221

89.97

1998/99

2994

2885

96.36

1999/00

3099

2704

87.25

2000/01

3036

2958

97.43

2001/02

3228

2793

86.52

2002/03

3919

4111

104.90

2003/04

5040

5278

104.72

2004/05

5571

5751

103.23

2005/06

6699

7432

110.94

Source:Economic review

 

The following pie diagram shows the average market price of natural rubber in domestic and international markets.

Average market price of natural rubber in domestic and international market

 

Relative movement of international and Domestic price of natural rubber

 

Month & Year

India  (Rs.per 100 kg. of RSS 4) (Kottayam)

World  (Rs.per 100 kg. of RSS 3) (Bangok)

Variation in World Price based on Indian Price

2005 April

5840

5768

98.77

May

6214

5824

93.72

June

6173

6384

103.42

July

6562

6881

104.86

August

6084

7053

115.93

September

6034

7447

123.42

October

6555

7644

116.61

November

6566

7366

112.18

December

6886

7666

111.33

2006 January

7360

8287

112.60

February

8045

9211

114.49

March

8069

9246

114.59

April

8634

9695

112.29

May

9841

10998

111.76

June

10692

12484

116.76

July

9821

11710

119.23

August

9182

10303

112.21

September

8169

8480

103.81

October

8709

8463

97.18

November

8260

7426

89.90

December

8609

7811

90.73

Source:Economic review

The below table shows the relative movement of international and domestic price of natural rubber.

 

 

 

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